Table 1

Average AUC of fall incidents prediction

# of historical periods	n=3	n=5
SMA	0.835	0.900
EWMA	0.835	0.900
CP-APR-SMA (rank=10)	0.883	0.925
CP-APR-SMA (rank=20)	0.893	0.917
CP-APR-SMA (rank=30)	0.875	0.929
CP-APR-EWMA (rank=10)	0.883	0.923
CP-APR-EWMA (rank=20)	0.892	0.916
CP-APR-EWMA (rank=30)	0.875	0.928
NMTF-SMA (rank=10)	0.889	0.933
NMTF-SMA (rank=20)	0.893	0.932
NMTF-SMA (rank=30)	0.888	0.932
NMTF-EWMA (rank=10)	0.880	0.915
NMTF-EWMA (rank=20)	0.884	0.916
NMTF-EWMA (rank=30)	0.880	0.916

AUC, area under the curve; CP, CANDECOMP/PARAFAC; CP-APR, CP Alternating Poisson Regression; EWMA, Exponentially Weighted Moving Average; NMTF, Non-negative Multiple Tensor Factorisation; SMA, simple moving average.